By Jeff Clark, senior editor, Casey's Gold Resource Report
Central banks are net buyers of gold for first time in 22 years...
Precious-metals research firm GFMS reports central banks around the world bought more gold in the second quarter than they sold for the first time since 1987. And consider this:
Central banks are net buyers of gold for first time in 22 years...
Precious-metals research firm GFMS reports central banks around the world bought more gold in the second quarter than they sold for the first time since 1987. And consider this:
- Amount of gold France will sell this year: zero
- Amount of gold Germany will sell this year: zero
- Amount of gold Switzerland will sell this year: zero
And just last week comes this news from the Financial Times: The world's wealthiest families are also switching to gold. "Two-thirds of the 100 respondents to a survey by the Family Office Channel, a new website, said that super-rich families are now more likely to invest in gold and other commodities."
These trends are real and they're pushing gold higher by the day. But the real fireworks will start when Main Street catches gold fever. The gold market is tiny; ergo, any panic out of the dollar by the general public will send gold investments into the stratosphere. As Doug Casey likes to say, "It'll be like trying to push the contents of Hoover Dam through a garden hose."
But what exactly does a garden hose look like?
If we added up all the gold ever mined on the planet, its total value would equal no more than $5 trillion at today's prices. Yet, look at how this compares to the debt and bailouts and other monetary mischief of current governments...
These trends are real and they're pushing gold higher by the day. But the real fireworks will start when Main Street catches gold fever. The gold market is tiny; ergo, any panic out of the dollar by the general public will send gold investments into the stratosphere. As Doug Casey likes to say, "It'll be like trying to push the contents of Hoover Dam through a garden hose."
But what exactly does a garden hose look like?
If we added up all the gold ever mined on the planet, its total value would equal no more than $5 trillion at today's prices. Yet, look at how this compares to the debt and bailouts and other monetary mischief of current governments...
* MZM (Money of Zero Maturity) is a measure of the liquid money supply in the economy. It consists of coins and currency, checking accounts, savings deposits, and money-market funds.
**Year-to-date figures.
Let's make this chart very clear. Of the $5 trillion in gold ever mined...
**Year-to-date figures.
Let's make this chart very clear. Of the $5 trillion in gold ever mined...
- The U.S. government has thrown more than twice as much at the economy in the past 12 months.
- The U.S. debt is more than double this amount so far this year.
- Total global government bailouts are almost four times larger. (This is a conservative figure. One estimate puts it at $24 trillion.)
The implications are undeniable: When the greater public rushes into gold – whether in response to inflation, dollar woes, war, whatever – the price will be forced up by an order of magnitude.
While physical gold will protect our wealth, it's the gold stocks that can potentially make us wealthy.
Once again, to get a sense of the Lilliputian size of the gold industry, I compared it to several other leading industries and stocks.
The value, as measured by market capitalization, of all gold producers around the world is less than Wal-Mart's. Every gold stock would need to nearly double just for the industry to match ExxonMobil. The oil and gas industry is about 12 times bigger.
When your neighbors and relatives and co-workers and friends all start clamoring to buy gold stocks, the pressure on prices will be enormous, rocketing our positions upward.
Just putting these charts together stirred my feelings of restlessness, making me anxious for the mania in precious metals to arrive. But the timing is not up to us. Be patient. If you're invested in gold and high-quality gold stocks, you're on the right side of this trend.
Just putting these charts together stirred my feelings of restlessness, making me anxious for the mania in precious metals to arrive. But the timing is not up to us. Be patient. If you're invested in gold and high-quality gold stocks, you're on the right side of this trend.
Good investing,
Jeff Clark
Casey Research
Jeff Clark
Casey Research
P.S. Had you bought gold, say, four years ago, when it was around $450 an ounce, you'd be sitting on a nearly 130% gain. But you could have made up to three times as much with even the most conservative precious-metals investments – large- and medium-cap gold and silver producers. It's not too late to take advantage of this once-in-a-lifetime trend.
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