Financial Advisor

Safe haven flows and a false break the drivers

Hedge Funds and large investors added 3.8% to their long futures positions as of last Tuesday. Total long positions now stand at 1.3 million lots or 110 billion dollars in nominal terms.

With the attention last week primarily resting on the U.S. government's attempt to find a solution to the debt ceiling impasse investors continued to seek security through precious metals. Long futures positions in silver, platinum and palladium all rose by more than 10 percent. Gold however saw the biggest nominal increase with 3.3 billion dollars moving into the yellow metal as it continued to make new record highs.

The second biggest increase was seen in WTI Crude oil with the false break above USD 100 last Tuesday triggering buying of 15,500 lots. This also helps to explain why it subsequently suffered losses on Friday as weak GDP and no news from Capitol Hill led investors to trim their positions ahead of the weekend.
The other sectors were mixed in the week with summer vacations across the Northern Hemisphere keeping many decision makers away from their screens.

Background information: The Commitments of Traders is a report issued by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission every Friday with data from the previous Tuesday. It comprises the holdings of participants in various U.S. futures markets split into "commercial" and "non commercial" holdings. The non commercial or speculative holding are typically institutional investors such as hedge funds and CTAs.

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