At this point, I think it's pretty clear the general stock market is now
in the initial phase of a new bear market. It's trying to generate a
bear market rally over the last three weeks, but so far it's been pretty
weak. That doesn't bode well once the cyclical and secular bear trend
resumes.
The HUI mining index is now on the verge of breaking down out of the multi-month megaphone topping pattern. Once it does, that will confirm that the bear now has his teeth in the last holdout sector. The sector that led the bull market over the last 2 1/2 years and now the last sector to succumb to the deflationary forces.
As I have noted in the chart, I do expect the miners will find at least temporary support at the 200-week moving average. That should correspond with gold putting in an intermediate degree bottom sometime in the next two or maybe three weeks. Presumably, it will come with gold below...
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The HUI mining index is now on the verge of breaking down out of the multi-month megaphone topping pattern. Once it does, that will confirm that the bear now has his teeth in the last holdout sector. The sector that led the bull market over the last 2 1/2 years and now the last sector to succumb to the deflationary forces.
As I have noted in the chart, I do expect the miners will find at least temporary support at the 200-week moving average. That should correspond with gold putting in an intermediate degree bottom sometime in the next two or maybe three weeks. Presumably, it will come with gold below...
Read full article (with charts)...
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